Pastist – Presentist – Futurist

Are you a pastist, presentist or futurist?

How would you know? Are these terms related to a particular personality profile, are they something in your upbringing, in your experiences or your firm beliefs. Does your orientation depend on what happened in the past, how your present satisfies you or what is in store for you, that you know of, in the future?

Disclosure #1

I like creating new words when what’s available does not help. My spell checker has trouble with pastist and presentist. However it has no trouble what so ever with futurist. How interesting and yet it is often the ‘futurist’ time dimension that people, not familiar with the tools and applications of it, have most difficulty with.

I guess one could argue that there is already a great word for pastist = historian. However, I believe what I am talking about here is a little [or a lot, you choose] different. I see a historian as a recorder of the past. Often also a communicator of it. Previously this was mostly done by professional drafters of the official past. Today this includes the every day stream on the net on what makes up humanity’s experience of the events. Love it! (more…)

AusForesight2007

Three days in the lives of futurists – together

AusForesight2007 is now part of history and memories. We came together in a national event with one tireless international guest Peter Bishop to reflect, react and respond.

• We reflected on the meaning of futures in our lives and in the world.
• We reacted to what we have learned and sensed and felt as futurists.
• We responded on the society we form a part of.

The setting was Sydney, surrounded by views of the harbour and the Opera House, the bridge, the parks and mostly wonderful weather.

Context

Two of the organising committee members Peter Hayward and Serafino de Simone welcomed the attendees and reflected on the origins of this year’s event in years of tireless work by Jan Lee Martin and the leading names in foresight from Australia: Richard Slaughter, Sohail Inayatullah and a number of others and also the importance of the previous year’s event in reforming the Australian foresight community.

Dominique, Serafino and Peter: three organising committee members

Last year many of Australia’s futurists had never met each other face to face or any other way.

This year the idea was to get us all to talk to each other more in depth. And talk we did. The first day we covered lots of ground through an intense dynamic conversation on what we had encountered as pressing issues and then what we faced as practitioners personally.

Chatty futurists

The lively conversation confirmed, raised eye brows, challenged views, winged, got real, despaired and got hopeful.

Group photo

Some topics which got attention were:

• What is it that makes people change their habits.
• Why do people carry on the old tracks even when their lives are at risk.
• We see behaviors which suggest that us humans are milking the current model before it collapses.
• With so much negativity in the media on change, we felt that futures work needs to be offering potential for hope or ways to initiate positive ripple effects from positive personal actions and then help bring about the wider outcomes.

One fitting quote here on the impact of the negativity was, “When you’re on the Titanic you might as well get drunk”.

Futurists@work

Futurists often work in small entities, one man/woman bands, and this causes a lack of leverage regionally and globally. We spoke about the numbers of ways in which we need to balance between the potential in the alternatives we see and the receptivity of our audience. Our client is often a corporation [government, education system] whose attention is firmly – all or nothing bet – on delivering on the short term numbers regardless of the chance that it is that ‘all chips on the same square bet’ which is terminal when carried forward with blinkers on.

Beware the taboos

One issue which was raised was the fact that it does not matter what group of ‘aficionados’ we talk to there are always the taboo views which are tricky to deal with. It is hard to say anything controversial and not face the smile that says, “Where have you been to bring that one up?’”. And futurists fall into the same trap. Mention the word growth and somehow it seems to bring up that smile on many a futurist’s face – it is somehow counter agenda.

Holism is hard work. It requires re-examination and redefinition of words and concepts we throw around, we cannot play this forward as if the words meant one thing to all people.

Ready for change?

A fundamental question to ponder is, “What are we prepared to give up to get somewhere different?”. This goes for individuals as much as for corporations. If the old way isn’t so hot and is going to run out of steam, what’s it going to be, what is a keeper and what is a giver upper?

We react differently to radical change – we have three prime flavours: Party, pray or pioneer. Futurists may be in all three while pioneering was considered to be part of our professional make-up. I know a few who are definite troopers in the party camp but equally present in the pioneering troupes.

There was one impassioned speech from a lady with a dream which reminded me of something I heard in my latest visit to the US in Camden Maine, which was “Martin Luther King did not get to his achievements by saying – “I have a problem”". Dreams, passion and persistent actions towards those dreams is what miracles are made of.

On what are the ways in which to get oneself into the zone of those passions, one key point was “Identifying your unique strengths and using those in the service of others”. It is what vocations are made of where the goals are bigger than the individual often petty concerns.

Voices for the future

As we roamed from table to table and room to room and from inside to outside event elements there was one conversation that kept on emerging in various guises. It could be called ‘voices’.

• Futurists as a group do not speak up strongly enough about the areas of concern, futurists have not supported minority voices or even understood them.
• Futurists have various voices depending on what the futurists backgrounds are.
• Should we consider segmenting the field more clearly like engineering or marketing has for the flavours to be understood better and heard?
• Are the young heard in a meaningful manner?

…but what about me?

Foresight involves pattern recognition. Sometimes us futurists need to take good care of recognising our own patterns and where those are leading us. The elements of our life so far are landmarks of our evolution and our path into our own future. Remember the moments of delight and passion, remember the moments of drudgery. It is wonderful when those moments of delight come together into one bigger whole of a happy you.

In one of the discussions we were trying to get to the essence of human competitiveness and lack of negotiation in the bigger picture engagement and it led to a discussion on the need to shift from competitive intelligence to connective intelligence and collaborative intelligence. Naomi Klein‘s book The Shock Doctrine was mentioned for its qualities for re-energising. One tenet in it being that clarity increases energy. Clarity of where we are and what we are doing.

We all have to do many things we don’t like, living in rather tyrannical situations. How do we deal with it? We shared our various ways to find a spiritual stillness. How do we divorce ourselves from the situation and find the distance and peace? For me, as I have found out lately, it is blogging [still practicing]. Mowing the lawn I think was the most likely activity to gain ground globally. My lawns are in constant need of mowing the lawn, you are welcome anytime

Integral foresight foreplay…letting lose on the second day

I could not attend all the events during the second day but the two that I did were very good sessions of sharing practitioner experiences.

They were led by insightful approaches to setting the scene for a good conversation. The first one I attended was on the applying integral foresight in our work. As Richard Slaughter has said now in a number ways and said it again, ‘integral’ is not an ideology, it is a model or a framework and helps us be more inclusive of the dimensions of influence in any situation. Chris, Josh and Gretchen outlined their experiences and here are some key dimensions which I took away as important things for all to remember.

Gretchen, Josh, Richard, Chris

It is not very useful to use the model explicitly to try and explain the state of the world with it. Rather it is more important to use it to cover the ground but leave it at the back of the mind as a frame of reference. This way the focus is on the area requiring futures thinking rather than on the method to get to the solutions and opportunities. Some readings suggested were naturally google.com.au/books?as_auth=Ken+Wilber&ots=6DEbT4AkIf&sa=X&oi=print&ct=title&cad=author-navigational">Ken Wilber‘s books but also Francisco Varela and Evan Thompson on people as autonomous beings and as meaning making individuals.

One danger with the model is that a practitioner compartmentalises people into different stages and people are really at many stages all at once for various situations and contexts of their lives. One way the integral method makes a difference is that it pushes for re-examining other methods and improves their comprehensiveness when taken from an integral perspective.

The second session I attended was aptly called “From foresight foreplay to corporate consummation”. The room was full. Sex sells. Marcus and Steve did a great job weaving a human interest story into the progress with a client.

We took a journey through key works of foresight and strategy which gave us part of the puzzle and the focal questions which we in the room were going to explore through discussion from our own experience on what works and what does not. Some of the questions were: What is foresight effectiveness? Is the field’s value understood? What to do about it?

Other fields which the group found to be equally difficult to put a direct dollar value to the results are public relations and design. With the cooperation of the participants we ended up in a warm embrace with our client(s) but we were wondering about what it made us futurists as we did end up in that warm embrace and we did a paying gig …….

Thanks it was fun!

Oliver coined a nice sentence for how he saw the consequence and thrill of our field, “The unbearable lightness of seeing”.

Further building the community

We wrapped the event by discussing our future as a community, the ways in which we’d like to engage for an improved future of the field.

After some months of deliberation on the ways in which the community can help itself we are now well on the way to forming an Australian professional foresight association.

A youth event in the park

Sunday we had a treat by Janine and Liz Cahill at Victoria Park. It was time to launch www.globalyouthfutures.org. We had a number of activities around rethinking and re-perceiving future and providing youth a voice.

A crowd scene – people listening to stories about the future and rap

Sustainable Sydney and some alternatives being envisioned – through art

Re-expression through recycled computers and toys

Thank you: Peter, Richard, Dianne, Wendy, Marie, Peter, Luke, Stephen, Steve, Marcus, Nicola, Terri, Jan, Peter, Brian, Brendan, Pat, Ian, Julien, Ian, Anita, Adam, Charles, Matthew, Liz, Janine, Roslyn, Chris, Barbara, Hugh, Robert, Maree, Gretchen, Josh, Oliver, Steven, Amy ……and the many others apologies if name isn’t here I am mainly listing those I paraphrase here in some way shape or form, apart my own thoughts and reflections on it all.

Here you can find more on the event.

How many futurists?

There are about 100 foresight professionals or futurists in Oz [lose definition or lets say not formed definition of criteria but people who associate themselves with being that].

Oz is about 2% of Global GDP. Australia has a vibrant community and long history with some wonderful godfathers [Richard Slaughter, Sohail Inayahtullah] and one gorgeous mother earth [Jan Lee Martin] and other key people who have promoted and worked hard to establish the field here. So let’s say Oz is foresight denser than some other places??

The global number might be between 2000-10000 people who would acknowledge and identify with being foresight professionals/futurists.

This is about identification and working the field rather than whether someone contributes or not.

Are you a faroid?

Futurist, foresight professional or faroid?

I spoke before about being a modern shift worker. It is not necessarily in shifts of 7.x hrs but rather in bits and pieces across the 24hr clock. What do we call that?

Things change in the way in which we live, often due to technologies. The fundamentals remain but how we do it changes. More precisely often technology evolution or revolution takes away previous hurdles and limitations.

Often in the foresight field we struggle with what to call new products, services, phenomena. How to name something very new? It has happened in human history many a time. Difference is futurists tend to live it over and over and have to deal with it in less than energised decision making situations.

As a corporate futurist one often has to present in 20minutes what tends to take the team months of work. That’s when you invariably hit the proverbial futurist wall, how do I bring these people up to speed in 20minutes on business concepts.  It is fun though when the presentation can be turned into a demo, but this is often where the funds run out….

If you want to see some cool about 20min presentations on interesting new things you should try this. It does not bring you quite to making a decision to invest or buy or even what for at times, but it works my imagination on those points.

The futures field struggles with the same issue of how we call ourselves. Some people call themselves futurists. That word has had its bad or strange connotations. Strategic foresight and so foresight professional is typically favored by those who work in applied futures and often in corporate or government contexts rather than as a freelancer, writing about it.

As things evolve and new understanding comes into play and one wishes to mark that somehow – a new word is often necessary to denote the changes. So how about faroid as the 21st century futurist/foresight professional?

Oh and the other new word I’d like to find – what do we call the modern shift worker – the person who works a bit early in the morning, then during the day and some more late at night or at times in the middle of the night? A liquid worker – a worquid?